I was tricked by an OMC type last night and he possibly saved a couple hundred dollars. On river of AQJx10, the grumpy old crab, out of position, faked a bet, then checked. I held three jacks, and checked behind conservatively.
I knew he had a pair and a gutter the whole time, but did not know which one. Turned out to be Q10. The 10 makes him holding a ten less likely, and increases the number of kings available. He never folds a king pre, limp calling all broadway hands.
What’s more likely, that he is angling for a showdown, or has binked the nuts at the end and checked?
Does a losing, passive coot always bet the straight because he knows I will check behind?
I'm beginning to think so and that I got this one very wrong.
(Note: if I had been in my rage of the night before, I'm 100% betting here on principle in order to have non straights in my range. Aggravation apparently makes me a more balanced player.)